Yearly Record: 80-91
Tom Brady Over 0.5 Interceptions -120
While it is the playoffs and Brady does turn it up this time of the year, he’s been sloppy with the ball. Brady has thrown nine interceptions this season with seven coming in the last six games. Dallas has a solid secondary that’s picked off 16 passes this season. This is partially due to how good the Cowboys pass rush is. When they bring the heat tonight, it’ll cause Brady to try and force a few passes leading to an interception.
Dak Prescott Over 21.5 Completions -120
It’s time for Dak to prove the haters wrong and torch the Buccaneers secondary. In the twelve games he’s played this season, Prescott has six games over 21.5 completions. The Bucs have allowed nine quarterbacks to pass for over 21.5 completions and that includes Trace McSorley and Jacoby Brissett. With the stakes being high, I think Dak will be throwing early and often and hitting safer throws to Schultz or Pollard and Elliott out of the backfield.
Dalton Schultz Over 38.5 Receiving Yards -120
Dalton Schultz should just be called ole reliable. He’s not Kelce, Kittle, or Andrews, but he’s pretty damn consistent. In the fifteen games he played this season, he has seven games over 38.5 receiving yards and averages 5.9 targets a game. I mentioned above that the stakes are high and in a big game like this, Dak may be a bit safe. Hitting check downs to Schultz would be huge because he’s great after the catch. Let’s ride on this Dalton Schultz over.
Leonard Fournette Over 35.5 Rushing Yards -130
With the news breaking that Pro Bowl center Ryan Jensen will be playing, I love this bet. Jensen is a mauler in the trenches and is great at reaching the second level. Tampa’s offense has been a bit methodical this season and they’ve utilized the run game. Fournette averages 11.8 carries a game and has eight games over 35.5 rushing yards. I liked this bet before the Jensen news, but now that it’s been announced that he’ll play, I love it more.
Michael Gallup Over 3.5 Receptions +130
Let’s get risky. Michael Gallup hasn’t been the most efficient pass catcher this season with Lamb and Schultz being primary weapons and Hilton bursting on the scene, but I think that’s what helps him. He’ll fly under the radar and receive favorable matchups. Gallup played in fourteen games this season and in six of them, he caught over 3.5 passes. Take me to the promise land, Gallup.
Cade Otton Over 2.5 Receptions -165
The rookie Otton has stepped up as the Buccaneers number one tight end this season. He tallied 42 catches this season and averaged four targets a game in the regular season. Otton has seven games over 2.5 catches and the Cowboys have allowed twelve tight ends to catch over 2.5 passes this season. They don’t struggle against tight ends after the catch, but tight ends do see a lot of targets.