Record: 27-35

Greg Rousseau Over 0.25 Sacks +175

It’s always great to start off my props with a sack prop. I’ve hit my last three and am looking to go for four in a row, so we’re putting our trust in Greg Rousseau. Rousseau has 3 sacks on the season, and while that’s not a huge number, I love his matchups tonight. Garrett Boles has been good in the run game, but struggles as a pass protector allowing 2 sacks and earning a 73.2% PFF grade this season. Opposite of him is Mike McGlinchey who has been a net negative on the Broncos offensive line. He’s allowed 5 sacks and that’s led to his PFF grade being 59.3%.

Jaleel McLaughlin Over 17.5 Rushing Yards +110

While it is never easy to bet the over for a backup running back’s rushing yards, I feel confident about Jaleel McLaughlin going over 17.5 yards. He started the season slow, but has become a reliable back for the Broncos over the past few weeks. In his last five games, McLaughlin has went for over 17.5 rushing yards with an average of 49.6 yards. McLaughlin’s hot hand won’t cool down this week.

Josh Allen Under 0.5 Interceptions +110

I know that the interception bug has bitten Allen this year and he’s thrown 9, but tonight feels different. Sound the alarm, this is my gut pick. In past props blogs, I’ve added a gut bet and it’s not about the nitty gritty data or numbers, it’s more that I feel something is going to happen. Am I 0-2 on my past two gut bets? Yeah, I am. But great shooters don’t stop shooting when they’re cold. They keep shooting until they’re hot again. Josh Allen isn’t going to throw an interception tonight, and my gut’s telling me that.

Cortland Sutton Over 45.5 Receiving Yards -115

One of the leagues best WR2 is Cortland Sutton. So far this season, he’s tallied over 45.5 receiving yards in four games and is averaging 5.75 targets per game. Buffalo has allowed 19 players to go over 45.5 yards in a game which makes for an average of 2.1 players per game. Buffalo isn’t a sound team when it comes to corner play and tonight Sutton will further expose that.

James Cook Under 78.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards -115

In six of the Bills nine games this season, James Cook has been under 78.5 rushing and receiving yards. That includes the Bills past two games. Denver at the start of the season got gashed in multiple games, but in their most recent game vs Kansas City, they shut down Pacheco, who in their first meeting went for over 78.5 rushing and receiving yards. I think Allen will look to push the ball downfield tonight and neglect the check down to Cook and instead look to Kincaid. It’s rare, but we’re hammering the under.