Record: 29-38

Jadeveon Clowney Over 0.25 Sacks +124

While my overall record isn’t great, I am 4-0 on my last four sack props. That just means we’re going back to the well. Jadeveon Clowney has 5.5 sacks on the season with one of those coming in the Ravens first matchup against the Bengals this season. He’s also coming off a game against Cleveland where he notched 2 sacks. The long and the short of it, Clowney is hot. In addition to him being hot, he has favorable matchups. Orlando Brown Jr. has allowed 2 sacks this year and has a PFF grade of 60.9%, while Jonah Williams has allowed 3 sacks and has a PFF grade of 67.9%.

Joe Mixon Under 79.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards -105

Joe Mixon has been consistent this season, as he only has three games over 79.5 rushing and receiving yards. In three of Cincinnati’s last four games, he’s also been under that number. On top of that, Baltimore’s defense has stepped up recently, holding two of the last three starting running backs they’ve faced under 79.5 rushing and receiving yards. While I think Mixon could have a good game on the ground, I don’t think he’ll be a factor in the passing game.

Mark Andrews Over 4.5 Receptions -135

One of the best tight ends in the NFL is Baltimore’s Mark Andrews. Andrews has four games over 4.5 receptions and is averaging 6.56 targets per game. The last time Cincinnati played Andrews, he caught 5 passes and was targeted 8 times. Cincinnati has been okay against tight ends this season, but they have allowed four tight ends to go for over 4.5 targets. It feels like another big game for Andrews against the Bengals.

Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown +145

We’re banking on a MASSIVE night for Andrews. He has caught 6 touchdowns this season with one of them being against the Bengals. He’s reeled in 3 of those 6 in the last four games and is looking to add to the tally. There’s not much to it other than that Andrews has been consistently good when it comes to playing against the Bengals, and us the bettors will benefit from that.

Joe Burrow Over 273.5 Passing and Rushing Yards -115

Joe Burrow only has four games over 273.5 passing and rushing yards, but they’ve come in the last five games. He’s hitting his stride and shaking off the slump he was in early on. While Baltimore has been stout against the pass, my guts telling me tonight will be big. Yeah, I am 0-3 on gut picks, but let’s not dwell on that. We’re focusing on Joe Burrow passing and rushing for over 273.5 yards tonight.