Record: 30-47
It’s quite impressive that I’ve lost this many props this year. I don’t think I’ve even had one good week. It is starting to really get out of hand.
Josh Sweat Over 0.25 Sacks +100
It finally happened. After a 5-0 streak in sack props, I lost. But I’m getting back on the horse and taking Josh Sweat over 0.25 sacks. Sweat has been consistent this season racking up 6.5 sacks, but 4 of them have been in the last four games. He’s on a role and while the Chiefs have a stout interior offensive line, their tackles aren’t great. Donovan Smith has allowed 1 sack and has a PFF grade of 57.1% and Jawaan Taylor has allowed 2 sacks and has a PFF grade of 53.9%. Sweat is going to make it 5 sacks through five games tonight.
Travis Kelce Longest Reception Over 20.5 Yards -120
The league’s best tight end is still Travis Kelce. He has three games where his longest reception went over 20.5 yards and will see favorable matchups vs Zach Cunningham and Reed Blankenship. The Eagles have allowed three tight ends to have their longest reception over 20.5 yards, and while T.J. Hockenson and Logan Thomas are good, they’re not as dynamic and don’t get open as well has Travis Kelce.
Jalen Hurts Over 36.5 Rushing Yards -120
(Whispers) this is my gut pick. Kansas City has only allowed one quarterback, Justin Fields, to rush for over 36.5 yards and Hurts has only done it three time this year. He’s consistently in the 30 yard range, but has only broken the threshold three times. But something feels different. Maybe that’s me talking myself into making this bet, but it makes sense to me. Hammer the gut.
Isaiah Pacheco Under 69.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards -115
Philadelphia has been great when it comes to stopping running back production this season. Only two backs have over 69.5 rushing and receiving yards vs them. Pacheco has been good as he has four games over 69.5 rushing and receiving yards, but in the past five games, he only has one game over that mark. The Chiefs offense has begun to sputter slightly and Pacheco has been at the center of it.
