Record: 31-55
DeMarcus Lawrence Over 0.25 Sacks +135
In past years, DeMarcus Lawrence was one of the most dominant pass rushers in the league. His production has dropped slightly, but in the past two games, he’s tallied 2 sacks. He’ll matchup vs Charles Cross, who has a 70.8% PFF grade and has allowed 3 sacks this year. Lawrence will also see matchups against Abraham Lucas, who has only played 35 snaps this season. All signs are pointing to DeMarcus Lawrence getting after Geno Smith.
Geno Smith Over 2.5 Rushing Attempts +124
With how poor the Seahawks offensive line has been, Geno Smith is going to have to utilize his legs to make plays. And we need him to do it three times. Smith has over 2.5 rushing attempts five times this season, and seven quarterbacks have recorded over 2.5 rushing attempts vs the Dallas defense. The numbers are lining up for this bet to hit perfectly, so let’s ride with it.
Dak Prescott Over 0.5 Interceptions -115
Dak Prescott has only thrown 6 interceptions this season. He did say prior to the season that he wouldn’t throw more than 10 this season. It’s going to be close because number 7 is getting thrown this evening. Seattle has 8 team interceptions on the season, but they’ve picked up 2 in the past two games. The young cornerback combo of Riq Woolen and Devon Witherspoon have been playing at an extremely high level and are making things difficult for opposing quarterbacks.
Tony Pollard Under 88.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards -115
While Tony Pollard has been super efficient this season, he only has one game this season over 88.5 rushing and receiving yards. The Seahawks have also been fairly stout against opposing running backs. Only three backs have gone for over 88.5 rushing and receiving yards against them. Some of the backs they held under that mark are Joe Mixon, Kareem Hunt, David Montgomery, Jahmyr Gibbs and Miles Sanders. Those are all guys on the same level as Pollard. As much as I think Pollard could have a good game, he won’t hit the 88.5 mark.
Tyler Lockett Over 4.5 Receptions -105
Everyone has players in the league they like for no reason they can fully explain. For me, one of those guys is Tyler Lockett. So is this tonight’s gut pick? Probably. But he does have five games over 4.5 receptions and is averaging 7.2 targets per game. Since Dallas’ bye week, they’ve played five games and have allowed five receivers to go for over 4.5 catches. With how often Geno Smith targets Lockett, I feel good about him going over 4.5 catches.