Yearly Record: 57-61
Ben Skowronek Over 30.5 Receiving Yards -120
At this point of the season, I’m trying to get above .500 on player props. This means that I’ll be going back on some props that have worked in the past. Ben Skowronek receiving yards over hit once in the past, and I’m going back to that well. Skowronek has five games over 30.5 receiving yards and is coming off his best game with 7 catches and 89 yards. With Kupp and Robinson out still, Skowronek is still in the WR2 slot.
Allen Lazard Over 3.5 Receptions -180
Seeing Green Bay without a premier wide receiver is weird. Lazard has been in the mix as WR1 with Watson, but I’m riding with Lazard’s receptions going over because he has eight games over 3.5 catches. He’s currently averaging 6.8 targets a game and, with only Watson to compete with for targets, I think this over hits.
Baker Mayfield Over 16.5 Completions
In Mayfield’s coming out party in Los Angeles, he tallied 22 completions. He’s playing for his career every time he touches the field and showed improvement through the air last week. Seven quarterbacks this season have over 16.5 completions against Green Bay’s dismal defense, and tonight Mayfield will make it eight.
Kyren Williams Over 17.5 Rushing Yards -105
Since returning from injury in November, Williams has played in five games. In three of those five games, Williams has rushed for over 17.5 yards. Williams has been the Rams’ RB2 since coming back, but is used often. What really raises my brow with this bet is how Green Bay has allowed twelve back-up running backs to rush for over 17.5 yards this season. The proof is in the pudding.
Aaron Rodgers Over 227.5 Passing Yards -125
Year after year, Rodgers is one of the league’s best quarterbacks, but this year has been a down one. The Rams’ passing defense isn’t one of the league’s worst, but it’s far from elite. Nine quarterbacks have thrown for over 227.5 yards against Los Angeles this season and a lot have been worse players than Rodgers. While I don’t think he’ll shatter the 227.5 yard threshold, I think the over hits.