Yearly Record: 63-70
Zack Moss Anytime Touchdown (+125)
Before Jonathan Taylor went down this season, he was an integral part of the Colts offense. In his final five games, he scored three touchdowns. Now, Zack Moss is stepping into the RB1 role. He’s been more active since Taylor went down and against Minnesota, he rushed for 81 yards on 24 carries. Moss is given the opportunities and now that Indianapolis is used to having him as the RB1, they’ll game plan to use him in the red zone.
Gerald Everett Over 31.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Everett has been pretty consistent this season for Los Angeles. He has seven games over 31.5 receiving yards, including his most recent game vs Tennessee where he had 42 yards. What really tickles my fancy and forces my hand to take the over is that Indianapolis has struggled against tight ends. Twelve tight ends have gone for over 31.5 receiving yards against them this season. That’s enough for me to take the over.
Michael Pittman Jr. Over 5.5 Receptions (-120)
Mr. Reliable in the Colts offense has been Michael Pittman Jr. With Nick Foles in, the passing game should revolve around the Colts dominant WR1. He has nine games over 5.5 catches and averages 9.3 targets a game. In addition to Pittman being a dominant force, Los Angeles has allowed twelve players this season to catch over 5.5 passes in a game. Hammer that over baby.
Austin Ekeler Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
While I’m taking the Everett receiving yards over, I’m also taking the Ekeler receiving yards over. I just feel like Justin Herbert is in the giving mood to spread the ball around. This season, Ekeler has ten games over 32.5 receiving yards. The West Colorado alum averages 8.2 targets a game. With Shaq Leonard on the injured reserve, I love Ekeler’s matchup.
Nick Foles Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+125)
Let’s get spicy here. Eight QBs this season have thrown for over 1.5 touchdowns against Los Angeles. That’s over 50%, which is enough for a dumb witted gambler like myself to bite on. I have six props here for the consumer. Five of them are very precisely researched. This one is my gut feeling and I like it because Nick Foles is one of those guys who has that dog in him. Stat nerds can shove it because Foles has that dog in him.
Justin Herbert Over 37.5 Passing Attempts (-125)
I have a lot riding on Justin Herbert this evening. He not only needs to get the ball to Austin Ekeler and Gerald Everett, but he needs to throw the ball over 37.5 times. A lot is riding on this young man, but I’m beyond confident. Herbert has ten games over 37.5 passing attempts and averages 43 attempts a game. He’s been playing out of his mind the past three games with an average of 46.7 attempts and 338.3 yards. Some would even say that he’s in his bag.