Yearly Record: 63-76
Micah Parsons Over 4.5 Tackles -135
He’s just got that dog in him. Parsons has six games over 4.5 tackles and with Tennessee having Josh Dobbs at the helm, Parsons could go to work tonight. Dobbs is a big time runner and Dallas could drop Parsons into a spy where he’ll accumulate the majority of his tackles. WE ARE CRUSHING THE OVER TONIGHT.
Dak Prescott Over 19.5 Completions -130
Tonight is going to be a big one for Dallas. They’ve got Tennessee on the road, and Kellen Moore is going to let Dak cook. He’s recorded eight games over 19.5 completions, which are all in the last eight games. What makes this bet more of a no brainer is that the Titans secondary has allowed twelve QBs to throw for over 19.5 completions in a game.
Dak Prescott Over 9.5 Rushing Yards -120
We are doubling down on Dak. In six of the ten games Dak has played in, he’s rushed for over 9.5 yards. His average in those six games is actually 24.2 yards. In ten games, Daks rushing average is 15.5 yards per game. While he’s not Lamar or Josh Allen, Dak can get active in the run game when needed. The Titans have 37 sacks on the season which means that they’ll be flushing Dak from the pocket and he’ll get on the run.
Dalton Schultz Over 40.5 Receiving Yards -110
Dalton Schultz has flown under the radar this season, but he’s been efficient. He has six games over 40.5 receiving yards and averages 5.4 targets a game. Tennessee has struggled in coverage against tight ends this season as they’ve allowed ten tight ends to go for over 40.5 receiving yards. Schultz is a physical and swift route runner that will win matchups against linebackers.
Austin Hooper Over 20.5 Receiving Yards -115
We double dipped on Dak, now we’re doubling down on tight ends. With Dobbs coming into the lineup, he’ll need a safety blanket and no position embodies the safety blanket more than tight end. Hooper has eight games over 20.5 receiving yards, seven of them coming in the last eight games. In addition, twelve tight ends this season have tallied over 20.5 receiving yards against Dallas.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine Over 16.5 Receiving Yards -110
Here’s where we get dicey. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has an average of 16.4 yards per game. We need him to get 17 yards tonight. He’s hit over 16.5 yards seven times this season, but has also had four games under five yards. The reason I like this bet is because of the matchup. While Diggs and Bland are on Burks and Woods, Westbrook-Ikhine will be getting either Kelvin Joseph in the slot or an off safety. It’s the matchup that’s making me take the over.
