Record: 33-58
Travon Walker Over 0.25 Sacks +124
In the past four games, Travon Walker has tallied two sacks in total. However, in the last two games vs Houston and Tennessee, Walker had half a sack in both games. We just need him to keep that streak alive and get another half sack. Walker will matchup vs Jonah Williams, who has a PFF grade of 65.6% and has allowed 6 sacks. He’ll also go against Orlando Brown Jr., who has a PFF grade of 61.7% and has allowed 3 sacks. Tonight feels like the night to get back on track with my sack props.
Jake Browning Under 33.5 Passing Attempts -120
With Joe Burrow out, Jake Browning is taking the helm of the Bengals offense. If you’re a Bengals fan, that’s terrible news. If you’re a Jaguars fan, this is awesome news. Or you’re like me who doesn’t have a dog in the fight and you’re hoping for a ground-and-pound game. In three of the Jaguars last four games, the opposing quarterback hasn’t attempted over 33.5 passing attempts. In Browning’s last game vs Pittsburgh when he went the full game, he only attempted 26 passes. The under is begging for us to take it tonight.
Travis Etienne Jr. Over 67.5 Rushing Yards -115
Overall this season, the Bengals run defense has been alright. But in two of the last three games, they’ve allowed two opposing running backs to rush for over 67.5 yards. Etienne has four games over 67.5 rushing yards, but with the Bengals run defense falling apart recently, tonight feels like it can be huge for the Jaguars RB1.
Trevor Lawrence Over 241.5 Passing Yards -110
It’s all Jaguars tonight. Or at least I hope it’s going to be. In the six games prior to the Bengals bye, only two quarterbacks threw for over 241.5 yards against them. In their five games following the bye week, all five quarterbacks they’ve played have thrown for over 241.5 yards. A lot like their run defense, the Bengals pass defense has regressed drastically. As for Trevor Lawrence, he has five games over 241.5 passing yards, however three of them have come over the last four games.