Yearly Record: 37-42
Pat Freiermuth Over 44.5 Receiving Yards -120
While Freiermuth has been a bit streaky, he has recorded fives games over 44.5 yards. He sees an average of 7.4 targets a game and averages 4.8 catches. The targets are there and he’s good after the catch. Four tight ends this season have gone for over 44.5 yards in a game this season against the Colts as well. The signs are pointing to the over.
Alex Highsmith Over 0.75 Sacks +145
Highsmith is currently tied for ninth in the NFL in sacks with nine. He started the season off hot, then took a bit of a dip, but in the past two games has tallied 2.5 sacks. Bernhard Raimann has allowed four sacks and seven penalties while Braden Smith has also allowed four sacks and seven penalties.
Najee Harris Over 2.5 Receptions -165
Najee Harris has been a great weapon out of the backfield for Kenny Pickett. He’s averaging 3.5 targets per game and has recorded six games over 2.5 receptions. The Colts have not been great against running backs in the pass game. Through eleven games they’ve allowed 13 running backs to catch over 2.5 passes.
Jonathan Taylor Any Time Touchdown -160
Taylor started the season off awfully slow, but since then has been returning to his last season form. The past two games he’s scored two of his three touchdowns. Defensively for Pittsburgh, the Steelers have allowed ten touchdowns from running backs on the year. I think that Taylor finally breaks out fully and finds pay dirt for the third game in a row.