Yearly Record: 66-79
Stefon Diggs Any Time Touchdown -110
Diggs is one of the best receivers the NFL has to offer and he’s paired with a great quarterback. While he hasn’t found pay dirt in the last three games, his targets have also decreased. With that being said, he did face matchups from Sauce Gardner and Xavien Howard. Eli Apple can’t hold Diggs’ jock. We’re about to witness a high scoring affair and Diggs is going to score tonight.
Josh Allen Over 22.5 Completions -105
Allen is a dynamic passer that has tallied seven games over 22.5 completions this season. In the six games following the Bengals bye week, they’ve allowed three QBs of lesser talent then Allen to throw for over 22.5 completions; Kenny Pickett, Deshaun Watson, and Tom Brady. I adore these completion props and really love this line with how much I believe they’ll be throwing tonight.
Joe Burrow Over 38.5 Pass Attempts -130
We need Allen to complete passes, but we need Burrow to just throw the ball. Hopefully a few times to Hayden Hurst (we’ll get to that), but we need 38.5 pass attempts from Joe Shiesty. While Burrow only has five games over 38.5 pass attempts, two of them are in the last two games and he’s coming off the heels of throwing 52 times against New England. I keep noting it, but we are set to see an offensive explosion tonight.
Matt Milano Over 7.5 Tackles -105
I’m a huge Matt Milano fan. He’s a bruiser and a playmaker and makes a lot of tackles. He’s recorded four games over 7.5 tackles with three coming in the last six games. Cincinnati likes to look over the middle with throws and run between the tackles with Joe Mixon. This’ll give Milano opportunities to come down hill and make stops. LET’S HAMMER THIS OVER BABY. I’m riding with Matt Milano this evening.
Joe Mixon Over 50.5 Rushing Yards -110
I need the Matt Milano tackles over, but I also need the Mixon rushing yards over. This can both happen. Mixon has eight games this season over 50.5 rushing yards and is averaging 60.5 yards a game. Cincinnati runs the ball roughly 48% of the time which pushes me to take the over. The tipping point is that Buffalo has allowed ten players to rush for over 50.5 yards this year.
Hayden Hurst Over 29.5 Receiving Yards -120
While Ja’Marr Chase is option number one, Hayden Hurst has been efficient. He has six games over 29.5 yards and is averaging 33.3 yards per game this season. Buffalo has allowed six tight ends to go for over 29.5 yards in a game this season. Sign it, seal it, and lock this pick up.