Let’s get one thing clear out of the gate: I am the furthest thing from a sports betting expert. I had a brief stint with playing guys online in Madden, but after losing close to $60 in a month, I decided to call it quits. When I presented the idea of putting together these bets, I didn’t even know what site to visit to put money down. But after talking with the guys here at SU, they directed me to “Brovada”… Then, after Bovada didn’t accept my credit card I finally settled on Betonline. (This isn’t sponsored by Betonline but it could be! Ball is in your court guys)
Every where you turn, someone claims to have inside knowledge. They know which games are “steals” or “mortal locks” for any given sport. I can’t compete with those guys, so I won’t try to. The way I’ve made decisions are completely random, the way most uninformed bettors do anyways.
Here’s how it will work:
I’m going to present a method of picking for each week. Then I’ll pick five games at random and then use that method of the week to decide my picks for me. Then I’ll give you a few reasons why you should also put money on this bet. It’s kind of like being given an essay question on a test, and have to argue for a side that you are given.
Alright, let’s jump into this weeks picks.
Clemson -17.5 vs Texas A&M
Why I’m right:
It’s Clemson! The defending national champs are going to roll over TAMU, no matter what they try to say. Travis Etienne is a legit Heisman contender and Trevor Lawrence is bound to have a bounce back game. Even if he still struggles Etienne can shoulder the load with another 200+ rushing game.
Why I’m wrong:
Maybe every one was right to be worried about Lawrence. TAMU isn’t Georgia Tech and they won’t cover if everyone is isn’t playing their best. The Kellen Mond and Quartney Davis connection will be enough to keep it within a two score game.
Texas +4.5 vs LSU
Why I’m right:
In one of the premier games of the week, this is the perfect time for Texas to prove it’s a force this year. Tom Herman has form fitted the offense to show Sam Eilingers strengths. LSU has called out Texas as a program and they are going to rise to the occasion.
Why I’m wrong:
When has Texas every come through for anyone? The Big 12 isn’t at the level of the top SEC teams and LSU will prove that again. Sam Ehlinger inconsistencies will prove to be costly and the Tigers will put this game away early.
Nevada +23 vs Oregon
Why I’m right:
After a miracle comeback over Purdue, Nevada is ready to keep the train rolling. Oregon’s confidence is in limbo after their offense was nearly nonexistent in the second half. Also if Malik Henry plays the game, I’m doubling down on the Wolf Pack winning. (just kidding) ((kind of))
Why I’m wrong:
After the heartbreak against Auburn, Oregon is going to come out hard and fast. This game will be over by halftime and the second team will keep their foot on the gas. The Nevada comeback was a fluke and they don’t stand a chance against top 25 talent.
Miami -6 vs North Carolina
Why I’m right:
UNC’s defeat of South Carolina is just a fluke and this game will prove Mack Brown is too old to coach. Starting true freshman Sam Howell was a mistake and their luck won’t carry into this game. Miami only lost by four to Florida last week and they need this win to prove they are still a force in the ACC.
Why I’m wrong:
Mack Brown is the truth and UNC is ready to prove all the haters wrong. There’s a reason Brown chose Sam Howell to play QB and they have enough talent to keep the game close, if not win.
Minnesota -3 vs Fresno State
Why I’m right:
Fresno State kept things close with USC after a near fourth quarter comeback, but Minnesota is not USC. Minnesota took down South Dakota State and this line means they don’t have to win by much.
Why I’m wrong:
Fresno State finished the year 11-2 last year. They got off to a rough start at the beginning of the USC game, but proved what they were capable of in the fourth quarter. This is just a sign of things to come for the Bulldogs as they get another such at beating a Power 5 school.