After a rough week zero for the best bets, we bounced back with a 2-1 record last week. Called the Colorado and Clemson game with ease. LSU disappointed us, but we shake that off and we get ready for a good slate of games here in week number two. The Best Bets are 2-4 (-2.42u) on the season so far in college football. Overall, last week we went 6-9 last week on official plays and lost -3.97u. Not the week we had in mind, however we’ve got a big week incoming. Here are my best bets for week two of college football.
Texas A&M (-4.5) vs Miami (O/U 51.5) 3:30 PM EST
This Power Five game between Texas A&M and Miami has the potential to be a very good matchup. The Aggies look to prove last season was a fluke and Miami is looking to shake off last season’s terrible record. Texas A&M beat New Mexico 52-10 last week and Connor Weigman and this A&M offense looked really good. However, the road was the Aggies worst enemy last season and they need to win on the road if they want to be good in 2023. The Aggies are going to need guys like Noah Thomas to contribute week in and week out. If Texas A&M can get that kind of production offensively they are going to be tough to beat. However, the offensive line is the key to this team’s success in this matchup. If Miami’s defensive line is all over the quarterback, A&M is in trouble.
Miami is ready to put last season behind them. The Hurricanes beat Miami Ohio 38-3 last week to kick things off. Texas A&M beat them 17-9 last season and the Hurricanes are ready to get their revenge. Tyler Van Dyke is going to have to be an x-factor in this one. If he puts up big numbers, this Hurricanes offense is going to go far. I think the Hurricanes match-up well with Texas A&M and should give them trouble in this week two matchup.
Betting Trends
–Texas A&M is 0-6 straight up in their last 6 road games.
-Texas A&M is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
-Miami is 8-1 straight up in their last 9 week two games.
-Miami’s overs are 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
The Don’s Play
I am taking Miami +4.5 at -115 odds, Miami moneyline at +152 odds and the over 51.5 at -105 odds at one unit each. The Hurricanes have my confidence in this one, as this screams to take the Hurricanes. Texas A&M has 61% of the bets on them at -4.5 and I think that Miami will win this game outright. With the public on A&M, I will fade the public and take the points, moneyline, and the over in this one.
Oregon (-6.5) vs Texas Tech (O/U 68.5) 7:00 PM EST
This game has the whole potential of a letdown spot. We have the Oregon Ducks who steamrolled Portland State 81-7 takes on a Texas Tech team who lost 35-33 in double overtime on the road to Wyoming. This has the classic everyone is on the Ducks because of how good they looked last week compared to Texas Tech losing in overtime to an inferior opponent. The Oregon Ducks are in a trap in my opinion.
For starters, their former quarterback Tyler Shough is now the starter for the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Also, the temperature around gametime on Saturday will be in the high 90’s. I think Oregon has a lot of confidence coming into this week. However, the Red Raiders are hungry to get their first win of the 2023 season. I think Oregon jumps out to a lead early, but the Red Raiders offensively can keep this close or go to a shootout with the Ducks.
Betting Trends
-Oregon is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
-Oregon unders are 7-3 in their last 10 games against Big 12 opponents.
-Texas Tech 6-1 straight up in their last 7 home games.
-Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday home games.
The Don’s Play
I am taking Texas Tech +6.5 at -114 odds for one unit. The public is absolutely hammering the Ducks as 95% of the bets are on Oregon. Texas Tech has been great at home in the past and I think the Tyler Shough revenge game plays a factor here. Plus, the Ducks scored 81 last week and the weather will add to this Ducks offense slowing down a tad. Love Texas Tech in this spot this week.
Wisconsin (-6.5) vs Washington State (O/U 58.5) 7:30 PM EST
The Wisconsin Badgers started off the Luke Fickell era with a disappointing win over Buffalo. Tanner Mordecai’s debut game at Wisconsin wasn’t what the Badgers thought was in store. However, the Badgers had two 100+ rushers in that game last week and the offense can only go up from here, right? I would like to believe that, but I need to see it with my own eyes first. Wisconsin struggled on the road last year and if they want to be a legitimate contender in the Big Ten, they are going to have to win games on the road.
Washington State has an electrifying quarterback in Cameron Ward and this team should be hungry in this Week Two showdown. People think just because they see the Wisconsin name alone, it means that they will steamroll the Cougars. Last season these two teams played at Wisconsin and Washington State won the game outright. If Cameron Ward and this Cougars defense show up, the Cougars have a chance to win in this game outright.
Betting Trends
-Wisconsin 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
-Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against a Pac-12 opponent.
-Washington State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
-Washington State unders are 5-2 in their last 7 home games that played on a Saturday.
The Don’s Play
I am taking Washington State +6.5 at -115 odds for one unit. The public likes this as 62% of the bets are on the Cougars at +6.5. Wisconsin looked subpar last week against Buffalo at home. Tanner Mordecai should be better this week, however I think that Cameron Ward and this Washington State offense will keep them in this game. Wisconsin wins the game outright, but the Cougars cover this number.
Final Thoughts
Remember, I write up my best bets every week so make sure you look for them. My whole card is on twitter @cjoneswho1212. Don’t miss out on riding with The Don and the bankroll will increase!
