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NFL Week 14 Model Projections

NFL Week 14

I’ve been building this NFL predictive model for close to two seasons now with great results. I figured that now is as good of a time as any to make these numbers public to help everyone out! NFL Week 14 is already upon us and lines are getting tight. This week I also used these numbers to project the outcomes of the NFC East. This model was okay at the start of the year but is really beginning to pick things up.

Week 13 Performance

9-6 Straight Up

9-6 ATS

8-7 OU

Season To Date Performance

106-70 Straight Up (60.23%)

100-73-3 ATS (57.80%)

89-84-3 OU (51.44%)

*Records Graded Against Closing Lines on the Action Network.

Week 14 Score Projections

Away TeamHome TeamAway ScoreHome Score
PatriotsRams2529
TexansBears2928
VikingsBuccaneers3229
TitansJaguars3423
CowboysBengals2528
CardinalsGiants2726
BroncosPanthers2623
ChiefsDolphins3225
ColtsRaiders3126
JetsSeahawks2135
PackersLions3627
FalconsChargers2625
Washington49ers2224
SaintsEagles3022
SteelersBills2726
RavensBrowns2631

How To Use This Model

This model has had the best return on spread picks this season and last season. You would be best served using it to pick moneyline underdogs and picks against the spread. Early season scoring has inflated my totals on the backside of the season, so I’d only trust a total bet if it’s to the under.

Week 14 Model Best Bets

Cleveland ML (EVEN)

Minnesota +6.5

Tennessee -7.5

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