What better way to start off my time at Student Union than to give out some #winners? As the football season goes on, the lines Vegas creates keep getting more accurate. However, there are some games where I feel they have the incorrect lines. Let’s get to it!
Wisconsin -13.5 @ Indiana – Saturday (11/4), 11:00 AM CST, Bloomington, Indiana
Wisconsin is coming in to Bloomington, Indiana PISSED. OFF. The Badgers are one of five undefeated teams in the country, but fell all the way to #9 in the latest College Football Playoff Poll. Wisconsin is 8-1 Against The Spread (ATS) in their last 9 road games, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Indiana, on the other hand, is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. On top of that, the Hoosiers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wisconsin has to play perfect football if they want to make their way into the Top 4. I see Wisconsin playing with a chip on their shoulder and dominating the Hoosiers. Lay the 13.5 with Wisky.
Kansas State has been ATROCIOUS on the road this season. The Wildcats went to Nashville and lost to a very average Vanderbilt team. Even worse, a trip to Kansas led to a win by just 10. Their wins have come against Central Arkansas, Charlotte, Baylor, and Kansas. The Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. I believe Texas Tech will out-play KSU and come away with the victory. The thing I am even more sure of is that these teams can score points. At the same time, both teams allow plenty of points. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings and 5-0 in their last 5 meetings in Lubbock. Take the Red Raiders -3 and the over.
South Carolina +24 @ Georgia – Saturday (11/4), 2:30 PM CST, Athens, Georgia
Georgia has to travel to Auburn next weekend in what could be the most pivotal game of the year. With a loss, their playoff hopes could be crushed. The Bulldogs will need all players healthy. With that being said, I believe that Kirby Smart and the Bulldogs will overlook South Carolina. South Carolina (6-2) is 2nd in the SEC-East and will look to upset the Dawgs this weekend in Sanford Stadium. The upset will not happen, but I do see Georgia overlooking the Gamecocks and getting a tougher test than expected. Take SC.
West Virginia -3 vs Iowa State – Saturday (11/4), 2:30 PM CST, Morgantown, West Virginia
Western Kentucky +10.5 @ Vanderbilt – Saturday (11/4), 11:00 AM CST, Nashville, Tennessee
Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home. They are just not a good football team, plain and simple. Western Kentucky has a chance to win in Nashville this weekend. They have two wins on the road this year and the talent to go into Nashville and give the Commodores a tough game. Take Western Kentucky +10.5.
Texas A&M +15 vs Auburn – Saturday (11/4), 11:00 AM CST, College Station, Texas
Just like Georgia, Auburn is looking ahead at what might be their toughest game of the year thus far next weekend against Georgia. A&M is coming off a brutal loss at home to Mississippi State, and they will come out swinging. Kevin Sumlin’s team showed that they will not back down when Alabama came to town. The Aggies fought back and made it an interesting game, eventually losing 27-19. Sumlin is fighting for his job and will pull out all the tricks to keep it close with the Tigers. I expect Auburn to come away with a 10-14 point margin of victory. Take the Aggies getting 15.
Normally I don’t like to pick the Tide to cover such a large spread. This week it just feels right. Alabama is a tough opponent off a bye week. They have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 weeks off a bye. I was tempted to say the over (48) for this game, but I’m not sure how much LSU will score. Alabama will score 35+ points. If you think LSU can score 14+ points the over may be a good look for you as well. I see the final score being 38-10 with the Crimson Tide coming out victorious. LSU has masked itself as a good football team the past two weeks, but the Tigers will back to where they were when the Troy Trojans beat them in Baton Rouge. Bama -21, take it.