Record: (Week 2: 3-2, Total: 7-6)
Profitable week last week with the big dogs laying in pure revenge style and Iowa proving they’re still top dog. Buffalo just could not get their running game going and Nebraska shut their offense down, before wearing them out the end. Week 3 is here and let’s continue to stay in the green on this week’s slate.
Purdue (+7.5)
Purdue is coming into South Bend clicking on all cylinders after a 49-0 thrashing of UCONN. Jack Plummer is proving himself to be a darkhorse candidate in the Heisman conversation and an upset win against Notre Dame would cement that claim. Jack Coan has proven to be a more than capable replacement to Ian Book, but the sneak win against Toledo raised many eyebrows.
Notre Dame has looked very rocky in their 2 games this season and this Purdue Boilermakers team can not be taken lightly. I feel catching 7.5 points is very interesting considering they Purdue has looked phenomenal and Notre Dame is at home. I’m taking the points and a lean to the over currently sitting at 58.
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Kent State (+22.5)
Iowa just came off a HUGE win in Ames and is currently a Top 5 team in the nation. They have knocked off ranked Indiana and a previous Top 10 rival Iowa State. They have 2 inferior teams coming into Kinnick Stadium in the next 2 weeks. So why am I taking the points here with Kent State?
This game SCREAMS let down because that is exactly what it is. Iowa just needs to get through these next 2 games with wins and move on about their business. Kent State is coming off of a 60-10 blowout over VMI where they got to open up their playbook and run the patented “Flash Fast” offense. This is a major up tempo offense and I can see Iowa coming into this game a little sluggish off a week long hangover. The Hawkeyes don’t need to blowout the Golden Flashes, they just need to win. Give me the points because Kent State has the offense to, at least, come in with a backdoor cover to secure the spread.
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Nevada (-2)
I am usually not a huge fan of away favorites, much less smaller conference favorites. But I feel Nevada is just the flat out better team out of this contest and on top of that, Kansas State will be without their starting QB Skylar Thompson. In comes backup Sophomore Will Howard who played sparingly last season, but not well. Carson Strong leads this Wolfpack team as a potential Top 25 candidate and is earning himself some serious potential Heisman chatter.
Nevada is trending up and can secure some serious respect if they can come into the House Bill Snyder built and secure a victory. Nevada will need to establish the run with Taua, since K-State’s stingy D will have to shutdown Strong to stay in this game. I see Nevada’s offensive weapons prove to be too much for The Wildcats to handle and will come out of Manhattan victorious by at least a field goal. Give me the 2 for The Pack.
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Miami (-6)
This game will make you answer one question: Do you believe what you see? By that I mean do you believe Michigan State is this good and is The U this bad? Michigan State has been on a role this year and Miami has disappointed so far this season.
In my opinion however, this spot is set up well for The Hurricanes to bounce back. Miami took on the toughest opponent they will see this season right out the gate by getting absolutely crushed by Alabama. Then coming off that demoralizing loss, took on a very underrated App State team that was one of the most popular upset picks last week and securing a last minute win. Miami answered the call and showed some serious grit to grind out a win over one of the best mid major team’s in the nation.
Mel Tucker has had a fabulous start this season in Sparty, but I feel this game is where the talent really rises to the top. Miami is 111th in the nation with 19 ppg, but this should prove to be a prime bounce back spot for Miami to show they are still contenders for a potential playoff run. Look for D’Eriq King to show he is still in the Heisman conversation and is still a top 10 talent at QB in Hard Rock Stadium.
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Ball State/Wyoming (Over 54)
Last week, Ball State proved to us a valuable lesson: Buy The Damn Hook. Drew Plitt and the Cardinals lost to Penn State 44-13 with an over/under set at 57.5. Sometimes the difference between pushing and losing is a half a point. I know they were just outmanned in that matchup which I fully expected, but this is a step down in competition this week with the Cowboys.
Wyoming had an absolute barn burner last week against Northern Illinois, winning 50-43. Now, they get to face another MAC opponent, a better MAC opponent, in the Cardinals who are looking to get back on track with a W in the win column. The combined PPG averaged between this 2 are 56.5, 2.5 points higher than this Total, and the 2 games the Cardinals played this season, the average total is 58.
I see a high scoring affair in this contest, with Drew Plitt in a “Get Right” game and Sean Chambers leading The Cowboys attack through the air. Projection: Ball State- 34, Wyoming- 27.
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Best Bet, Honorable Mention
Since my Best Bets have not been off to a great start this season, I am going to go with “Most Confident” play:
Nevada -2 is a play I love and will be buying down if it happens to go that way later in the week because I believe in The Pack and Strong under center.
H.M: Tulane/Ole Miss (OVER 76)
This games total shot up from 72 to 76 very quickly, so we are not getting the best line at all on this play. But Ole Miss can name their score here and I LOVE Tulane QB Michael Pratt who almost lead The Green Wave to an upset victory over Oklahoma Week 1. Expect points and plenty of them. Not a play….yet.
Thanks again for reading guys and best of luck if you tail. Let’s stay in the green this week!