Yearly Record: 45-52

Josh Jacobs Any Time Touchdown -180

Josh Jacobs has been a machine this season after the Raiders decided to not pick up his fifth-year option. He has ten total touchdowns on the season, all on the ground with four in the last four games. The Rams’ defense has allowed a running back to find paydirt eight times this season, and with the type of heater Jacobs is on right now, I don’t think any defense can slow him down.

Josh Jacobs Over 86.5 Rushing Yards -115

Last time I double-dipped a player on a prop it failed, but Alvin Kamara is a fraud. Josh Jacobs isn’t; at least I don’t think so. He has six games well over 86.5 rushing yards and in the past three games has rushed for over 105 yards for an average of 160.7 yards. He’s on a different level from any other back and will run all over the depleted Ram’s defense.

Jalen Ramsey Over 5.5 Tackles -105

I still wholeheartedly believe that Jalen Ramsey is the best corner in the league. Part of that reason is that he’s outstanding in run support and a great tackler. On the season, Ramsey has eight games over 5.5 tackles with six of them coming in the last six weeks. He’s been very active making tackles and I think he’ll hit the over tonight as he’ll be working against Davante Adams who is Derek Carr’s top target.

Derek Carr Over 21.5 Completions -115

It’s been an up-and-down year for the Raiders’ offense and Derek Carr. What’s giving me over vibes on this bet tonight is that the Rams have allowed six quarterbacks to complete over 21.5 passes, in addition to the Rams defense being third worst in the NFL in completion percentage with 68.5%. Carr has six games this season with over 21.5 completions as well. With Aaron Donald sidelined, he should have a clean pocket to throw and complete passes on the Rams abysmal pass defense.

Leonard Floyd Under 0.75 Sacks -135

Now I’d usually bet the over on a sack prop, but there’s a lot pointing to the under. Aaron Donald is out so the Raiders’ offensive line has to really just game plan for Floyd and Greg Gaines. In addition, the Raiders starting tackles, Kolton Miller and Jermaine Eluemunor have allowed a combine five sacks. Los Angeles doesn’t do a lot of stunting up front so Floyd, who only has five sacks on the season, will have to win one on one matchups.

Ben Skowronek Over 27.5 Receiving Yards -115

The Rams receiving core is pretty depleted with Kupp and Robinson on IR so Skowronek has to step up. Skrowonek has five games over 27.5 receiving yards and sees an average of 4.1 targets a game. Vegas’ pass defense is allowing 298 yards a game. The one qualm I have is that either Baker Mayfield or John Wolford is starting at QB. That’s concerning, but the Rams with Sean McVay will try to throw the rock.