Yearly Record: 86-97
Brock Purdy Over 7.5 Rushing Yards -125
In the few games that Purdy has played in this season, he only has one game over 7.5 rushing yards. He does, however, average 2.6 carries a game. All it takes is for him to scramble once and pick up eight yards. Dallas has a great pass rush with Parsons, Lawerence, and Fowler. They’ll flush Purdy from the pocket and force him to scramble. In Purdy we trust.
Christian McCaffrey Over 4.5 Receptions +100
McCaffrey has eight games over 4.5 receptions this year. He’s a massive threat out of the backfield and four of his eight games over 4.5 receptions is with Purdy at quarterback. Dallas does have good matchups with McCaffrey, but he’s a different animal in the pass game. He averages 6.1 targets a game and with how much Dallas pressures the quarterback, he’ll be a great safety net.
Dalton Schultz Over 42.5 Receiving Yards -115
I bet the Schultz receiving yards over last week and it hit. Ole reliable stepped up against Tampa and he’ll step up again tonight. Schultz has eight games over 42.5 receiving yards and in three of the last four games, he’s gone for 95 yards, 56 yards, and 43 yards. Prescott looks for him early and often and tonight will be no different.
Dak Prescott Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns -125
Prescott is proving the doubters wrong this year and has been absolutely slinging it. He has nine games over 1.5 passing touchdowns and in four of the last five games went he threw for 4, 2, 3, and 3 touchdowns. San Fran’s defensive backs are decent, but Dallas is deep at receiver with Hilton, Lamb, Brown, and Schultz.
George Kittle Over 45.5 Receiving Yards -115
While a running back in McCaffrey is a great safety net, a big tight end like Kittle is usually even more helpful. Kittle is a menace of a blocker, but he also has six games over 45.5 receiving yards. The reason I like this over is because of his matchup. Parsons, who is the best athlete on the Cowboys defense, won’t guard him so he’ll be covered by either Leighton Vander Esch who isn’t great in coverage or one of the safeties who is smaller than Kittle. HAMMER IT.
Nick Bosa Over 0.25 Sacks -175
Bosa is a legitimate candidate for DPOY. His presence off the edge has been undeniable as he’s tallied 18.5 sacks this year. Bosa has thirteen games over 0.25 sacks this year and he’ll be facing favorable matchups. Left tackle Tyler Smith has allowed 6 sacks this season and Tyron Smith has a PFF grade of 59.6%. We’re about to see a whole new animal unleashed with Nick Bosa.
