Yearly Record: 17-21

David Montgomery Under 52.5 Rushing Yards -135

New England’s rush defense has been stout in 2022. Against high-level backs like Najee Harris and J.K. Dobbins, they’ve kept them under 52.5 rushing yards. Montgomery splits snaps with Khalil Herbert, which makes me feel queasy about taking the over. Now you factor in that he’s facing the team that’s allowed the eleventh least amount of yards. HAMMER THE UNDER.

Hunter Henry Over 2.5 Catches -155

Hunter Henry got off to a slow start this season but has picked it up in the last two games. In the past two weeks, he had 4 catches in both games. Against Detroit, he was targeted 5 times and against Cleveland, he was targeted 7 times. He’s been getting open often and the ball comes his way. In addition, Chicago has allowed three tight ends on three separate occasions to catch over 2.5 passes.

Cole Kmet Under 2.5 Catches -180

While I do have a soft spot for Kmet as he’s a Notre Dame alum, the signs are pointing to the under. He only has two games over 2.5 catches and in those other four games, he’s averaging 0.75 catches and 2 targets a game. New England has also only allowed two tight ends over 2.5 grabs this season. Their coverage scheme against tight ends works great using Kyle Dugger or Jahlani Tavai.

Matt Judon Over 0.75 Sacks +105

I’m loving this bet. Matt Judon has been a menace this whole season and through six games is averaging a sack a game. That stat line speaks for itself. As for Chicago, their starting left tackle Braxton Jones has allowed 4 sacks this season while their starting right tackle, Larry Borom has allowed two. Already this season, Fields has been sacked 23 times. Yikes. Judon is set to have a night and record at least one sack.