Last week was a good bounce back. Pitt not covering the 6.5 was an absolute travesty, but we can’t dwell on the past. Let’s look ahead to the Week Three slate, where underdogs are the play.
Current Record: 6-7
Western Kentucky (+6.5) at Indiana
Simply put, Indiana isn’t very good. I was on the right side of them against Illinois, but after sneaking out a 35-22 win over Idaho, I’m off the Hoosier bandwagon. In comes Western Kentucky, a team that lost its stud QB Bailey Zappe to the NFL, but has continued to put up big numbers on offense. D2 transfer Austin Reed has been excellent and efficient this year, leading the Hilltoppers to 400 yards of offense per game. Now I realize Hawaii and Austin Peay are not Big 10 teams, but Indiana is allowing a touch under 400 yards per game in their first two games against arguably worse offenses than WKU. 6.5 is too many points, and I’d even sprinkle some ML on Western Kentucky day. Not to mention, Indiana is in a huge lookahead spot with Cincy looming next week.
Troy (+13.5) at App State
This line keeps moving higher and higher. App State is the talk of the town this week. Coming off a big win against Texas A&M, ESPN’s College Gameday headed to Boone, NC for this matchup. However, by 3:30, when all the hype has died down and the game is broadcasted on ESPN+, this has all the makings for a let down. Troy’s defense is very good. They held Ole Miss to 28 points in Week One in a loss. App State’s defense was great last week, but showed some major holes against North Carolina. I know this rivalry game has not been close recently, but if I know one thing about the Sun Belt, it’s to expect the unexpected.
Washington (-3.5) vs Michigan State
Fishy, fishy line here. Even on the road, Michigan State is ranked No. 11 in the country, while Washington struggled last year and hasn’t played anyone in 2022. On paper, the Spartans are the better team. For that read, I’m taking Washington. As proven last week, rat lines do exist. The public is all over Michigan State. We zig while everyone else zags. Although Washington has only played Kent State and Portland State, Husky Stadium at night is a legit home field advantage. We’re rocking with the home team in primetime.
