I’ve been building this NFL predictive model for close to two seasons now with great results. I figured that now is as good of a time as any to make these numbers public to help everyone out! NFL Week 14 is already upon us and lines are getting tight. This week I also used these numbers to project the outcomes of the NFC East. This model was okay at the start of the year but is really beginning to pick things up.

Week 13 Performance

9-6 Straight Up

9-6 ATS

8-7 OU

Season To Date Performance

106-70 Straight Up (60.23%)

100-73-3 ATS (57.80%)

89-84-3 OU (51.44%)

*Records Graded Against Closing Lines on the Action Network.

Week 14 Score Projections

Away Team	Home Team	Away Score	Home Score
Patriots	Rams	25	29
Texans	Bears	29	28
Vikings	Buccaneers	32	29
Titans	Jaguars	34	23
Cowboys	Bengals	25	28
Cardinals	Giants	27	26
Broncos	Panthers	26	23
Chiefs	Dolphins	32	25
Colts	Raiders	31	26
Jets	Seahawks	21	35
Packers	Lions	36	27
Falcons	Chargers	26	25
Washington	49ers	22	24
Saints	Eagles	30	22
Steelers	Bills	27	26
Ravens	Browns	26	31

How To Use This Model

This model has had the best return on spread picks this season and last season. You would be best served using it to pick moneyline underdogs and picks against the spread. Early season scoring has inflated my totals on the backside of the season, so I’d only trust a total bet if it’s to the under.

Week 14 Model Best Bets

Cleveland ML (EVEN)

Minnesota +6.5

Tennessee -7.5